So now that the President’s speech on jobs in front of a joint session of Congress has a date (next Thursday instead of Wednesday) and the White House has promised that it’ll have an early start (can’t have it interfering with the NFL opener, god forbid), is everyone excited and happy? Well, don’t be. Ezra Klein explains.
Obama’s speech will achieve nothing. It will go nowhere because it has nowhere to go. A speech can rally the base, and maybe even temporarily change the topic in the news. But it can’t change the fundamental fact of politics right now, which is that the two parties disagree on the most profound question in Washington. It’s not: How do we fix the economy? It is: Who should win the next election? So long as Republicans and Democrats disagree on that, there will be no significant cooperation on substantive issues. Boehner simply will not cut off his party’s candidates at the knees, especially its presidential contenders, by handing Obama a major economic accomplishment. Because he controls the House of Representatives, that means Obama — and, by extension, the U.S. — is not going to get a major economic accomplishment.
And if anyone believes differently, they simply have not been paying attention to the political scene for the last three years. Here’s the opening paragraph from a NYT’s piece written 18 months ago.
Before the health care fight, before the economic stimulus package, before President Obama even took office, Senator Mitch McConnell, the Republican minority leader, had a strategy for his party: use his extensive knowledge of Senate procedure to slow things down, take advantage of the difficulties Democrats would have in governing and deny Democrats any Republican support on big legislation.
If that was true then (it was), it’s even more true now with the general election a little more than a year away. Republicans understand only too well that any recovery in the economy between now and election day works against their ultimate goal – victory in 2012. For all their bluster and rhetoric (“[Republicans] have made creating a better environment for job creation our number one focus”), Republicans would rather see the unemployment numbers exceed 10%. And as a result of that mindset, no matter what the President says next Thursday, it will be criticized and ripped to shreds by Congressional Republicans, by every candidate in the GOP primary, by every Tea Party official across the country, by Fox News and by every right-wing radio jock, newspaper and blog.
You don’t have to wait for the morning after President Obama’s job speech to read what Republican’s thought about it. Those reviews were written three years ago – November 4, 2008 to be precise.
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